When methanol is flowing, relative MBT timing generally moves forward (more advance) compared to meth off, because meth increases knock margin and can improve combustion stability. The exact number of degrees depends on mixture strength, distribution, and operating point, but the direction is forward, not backward.
However, MBT is not determined by knock margin alone. MBT is defined by combustion phasing and torque response, not by the ECU model. If exhaust backpressure is high, residual dilution and pumping losses increase, burn rate slows, and the torque response to spark diminishes. In that case, MBT may advance less than expected or even flatten despite improved octane.
Speed density doesn’t change engine physics, but it does matter for interpretation. In a speed-density system, VE is inferred from pressure, temperature, and modeled efficiency. When exhaust backpressure alters effective cylinder filling and residual fraction, the calculated load, VE, and spark sensitivity change together. That’s why MBT observations can’t be interpreted in isolation from exhaust conditions.
So yes, meth flowing typically allows more spark at MBT. The point I’m making is that without accounting for exhaust backpressure, you can’t know whether MBT movement—or lack of it—is being limited by combustion chemistry or by exhaust-driven dilution and pumping losses. That’s an engine-dynamics issue, not an ECU strategy issue.